It’s great that Ken Henry wants to cut complexity in the tax system. It’s not so great that he wants changes which will keep marginal tax rates higher than needed and increase the level of government interference in what people choose to do with their money.
What Henry thinks about tax matters. He’s not, as Kevin Rudd keeps calling him, an “independent regulator” who should not be criticised by Opposition politicians. He’s the head of the federal Treasury. Although this is an extraordinarily demanding job, which he performs with tremendous dedication,
the government has loaded him up with another huge task — heading a panel to conduct what it calls a “root and branch’ review of the tax system.
Unfortunately, it’s not a roo and branch review —the government has excluded the GST and tax-free income for well off retirees from the terms of reference. Almost any sensible plan to cut the number of state taxes involves replacing some of them with the GST — which can be done without prices rising.
In a National Press Club speech last Wednesday, Henry gave some inkling of the likely outcome of the review, which is due to report in late 2009. One goal is that fewer people should have to submit a tax return each year or use a tax accountant. Henry noted that 73 percent of Australians who submit a return use a tax agent compared to 30 percent in New Zealand.
This area of simplification usually involves financial institutions paying tax on interest directly to Tax Office and replacing deductions for work expenses with a tax credit. The credit could be higher if salary sacrificing for work expenses was also scrapped.
Henry told the Press Club, “An excessive level of complexity diverts resources from more valuable uses; many high-achieving tax agents could be school teachers, for example. It wastes time that people could spend with their family, volunteering in their community, relaxing with friends.” Some "high achieving” tax agents mightn’t welcome the chance to be redeployed as schoolteachers, but Henry deserves full marks for tackling the ever expanding level of tax complexity.
The obvious candidate for reform is the horrendous mess created by trying to define in minute detail what constitutes taxable corporate income and deductible expenditure. Henry raised the possibility of taxing the difference between “cash in” and “cash out” as one simplification route.
The cleaner solution is to abolish company tax altogether and replace it with a simple withholding tax on income paid to share holders in much the same way as already occurs via the dividends imputation system. Tax would be deferred initially on retained earnings, which would become a more important source of capital. Overall, revenue should not fall over time, particularly if private companies had to pass passive investment income from other entities straight through to shareholders.
While Henry's focus on cutting complexity is welcome, it is harder to understand his desire to tilt the playing field even further in favour of investments in paper assets. One difficulty is that every time you narrow the tax base by giving concessions to one source of income — for example, savings — this has to be funded by higher rates on everything else. Despite Henry’s desire to increase work incentives, more concessions for savings mean marginal rates on wages and salaries have to be higher than otherwise necessary. Unfortunately this is what happened with the abolition of all tax on super payouts to wealthy retirees — the cost is paid by those still working for a living.
Although higher marginal rates affect the incentive to do more work, Henry’s answer is that people could cut the total amount of tax they pay by allocating more of their income to a tax advantaged savings account. But why try to alter how individuals prefer to allocate their income between spending and savings? In any event, many low to middle income earners are hard pressed to save more than they already do via compulsory super.
Henry also wants to attract more footloose international capital to Australia. That’s fine, if it goes into productive investment. It’s different matter if, as Henry seems to advocate, further tax concessions are used to attract money into managed funds, including those which offer the sort of exotic financial products that have contributed to the global financial crisis.
Some economists consider one key lesson from the financial crisis is that the tax system should do less — not more — to encourage borrowing that ends up creating asset price bubbles and subsequent collapses. The chief economist for the ANZ bank, Saul Easlake, criticises the way tax breaks for capital gains, and for negatively gearing into shares and property. led to a destructive borrowing binge over the last few years. A former Treasury head, Bernie Fraser, shares Easlake’s view. Fraser says, “A dollar of income is a dollar of income, so it should be taxed at the same rates regardless of how it is earned”.
The government is has left itself in a difficult situation in which Treasury economists are hardly in a position to give independent advice on the merits of a report produced by their boss. Perhaps the government should ask Easlake, and other dissenting voices from the private sector, to give it a second opinion before it embarks on radical tax changes.