Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews this week foreshadowed changes to the border bubble, after reducing it by three local government areas.
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It's all feeling eerily familiar to the situation last year, where the NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian announced she would shut her state to her southern neighbours.
Have a look at the case numbers leading up to NSW closing its border to Victoria last year.
Keep in mind that Victoria's outbreak began earlier and was due to hotel quarantine breaches with far less contact tracing, and that the current outbreak in NSW is the Delta variant, which began following a positive test result for a limo driver on June 15.
Victoria's cases on June 15, 2020: 9/NSW cases on June 15, 2021: 1
- June 16 (2020): Victoria: 20 NSW (2021): 0
- June 17: Victoria: 18 NSW: 2
- June 18: Victoria: 12 NSW: 2
- June 19: Victoria: 25 NSW: 2
- June 20: Victoria: 17 NSW: 2
- June 21: Victoria: 13 NSW: 2
- June 22: Victoria: 17 NSW: 5
- June 23: Victoria: 18 NSW: 10
- June 24: Victoria: 33 NSW: 18
- June 25: Victoria: 28 NSW: 11 NSW locks down four LGAs down
- June 26: Victoria: 40 NSW: 29 Regional NSW given restrictions
- June 27: Victoria:47 NSW: 30
- June 28: Victoria: 69 NSW: 18
- June 29: Victoria: 61 NSW: 19
- June 30: Victoria: 76 NSW: 22
- July 1: Victoria: 73 NSW: 24 Victoria turns border from green to orange
- July 2:Victoria: 62 NSW: 31
- July 3:Victoria: 100 NSW: 35
- July 4:Victoria: 68 NSW: 16
- July 5: Victoria: 98 NSW: 35
With Victoria recording 168 cases, this time last year NSW announces border will shut. On July 6 this year, NSW recorded 18 cases.
- July 7: Vic: 122 NSW: 27
- July 8: Vic: 149 NSW: 38
- July 9: Vic: 143 NSW: 44 Vic police set up Chiltern checkpoint
- July 10: Vic: 290 NSW: 50
- July 11:Vic: 256 NSW: 77 Vic turns all of NSW into a 'red zone'
- July 12: Vic: 167 NSW: 112 Checkpoint appears on Causeway
- July 13: Vic: 248 NSW: 89 Border seeks clarity on travel into Vic
- July 14: Vic: 218 NSW: 97 LGAS in Sydney get another 2 weeks 'at least'
- July 15: Vic: 295 NSW: 65 Exposure site listed in Jindera, Victoria locked down
- July 16: Vic: 379 NSW: 97 North Albury exposure site is revealed
- July 17: Vic: 211 NSW: 111
- July 18: Vic: 337 NSW: 105
- July 19: Vic: 262 NSW: 98
- July 20: Vic: 341 NSW: 78 Victorian lockdown extended
- July 21: Vic: 436 NSW: 110 NSW gives Victorians in bubble restrictions
- July 22: Vic: 374 NSW: 124
- July 23: Vic: 287 NSW: 136
- July 24: Vic: 333 NSW: 163 Albury police: no action will be taken against removalists
- July 25: Vic: 408 NSW: 141 Dan Andrews says no ring of steel prompts 'extreme risk'
- July 26: Vic: 492 NSW: 145 Confusion around NSW 'extreme risk' zone
- July 27: Vic: 358 NSW: 172 Victoria comes out of 12-day lockdown sparked by removalists
- July 28: Vic: 274 NSW: 177 Gladys Berejiklian says regional Pfizer will be used for Sydney
- July 29: Vic: 626 NSW: 239
Cases peaked in Victoria on August 4 at 687 and didn't get back under 100 until August 28 (90 cases). It then took until October 31 for Victoria to reach its first 'doughnut day' in the second wave.
How long will it take for NSW to do the same?
It has been now been 45 days since the first case triggering this NSW outbreak was reported, and there are 2512 active cases.
After 45 days following the hotel quarantine leak in Victoria at the end of May, there were 1473 active cases.
Active cases peaked in Victoria at 6766.
Please note this comparison focuses on case tallies and there is more comprehensive epidemiological data comparing the outbreaks.
